OSINT

Lately, the media has been full of complaints about the effectiveness of the Ukrainian Armed Forces' use of artillery provided by Western allies. But let's take a look at the reality. Let's take as a basis only the confirmed data on the losses of both sides from the Oryx and Yakub groups. We will cover the period from June 1 to November 17 (170 days) and will take into account artillery with a caliber of 120 mm and bigger...

We have prepared a study on the state of the enemy's cannon and rocket artillery based on satellite imagery as of mid-2024. In our opinion, it is the desire to follow these tendencies that is the main goal of this study - apart from, of course, an attempt to count “enemy guns”...

We hope that we understand that these calculations are approximate, because there is simply no actual 100% verified information about the condition/quantity/availability unless you are physically in the enemy's enterprises and storage depots and count personally. The general conclusion of the study — taking into account storage bases, maintaining a steady rate of destruction and production, and in the absence of supplies from outside (North Korea, China), Moscovia has a 1.5–2 year supply of tanks. The math and thoughts are below.